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 class conditional distribution


Feature Selection via Maximizing Distances between Class Conditional Distributions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

For many data-intensive tasks, feature selection is an important preprocessing step. However, most existing methods do not directly and intuitively explore the intrinsic discriminative information of features. We propose a novel feature selection framework based on the distance between class conditional distributions, measured by integral probability metrics (IPMs). Our framework directly explores the discriminative information of features in the sense of distributions for supervised classification. We analyze the theoretical and practical aspects of IPMs for feature selection, construct criteria based on IPMs. We propose several variant feature selection methods of our framework based on the 1-Wasserstein distance and implement them on real datasets from different domains. Experimental results show that our framework can outperform state-of-the-art methods in terms of classification accuracy and robustness to perturbations.


Classification and Uncertainty Quantification of Corrupted Data using Semi-Supervised Autoencoders

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Parametric and non-parametric classifiers often have to deal with real-world data, where corruptions like noise, occlusions, and blur are unavoidable - posing significant challenges. We present a probabilistic approach to classify strongly corrupted data and quantify uncertainty, despite the model only having been trained with uncorrupted data. A semi-supervised autoencoder trained on uncorrupted data is the underlying architecture. We use the decoding part as a generative model for realistic data and extend it by convolutions, masking, and additive Gaussian noise to describe imperfections. This constitutes a statistical inference task in terms of the optimal latent space activations of the underlying uncorrupted datum. We solve this problem approximately with Metric Gaussian Variational Inference (MGVI). The supervision of the autoencoder's latent space allows us to classify corrupted data directly under uncertainty with the statistically inferred latent space activations. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the model uncertainty strongly depends on whether the classification is correct or wrong, setting a basis for a statistical "lie detector" of the classification. Independent of that, we show that the generative model can optimally restore the uncorrupted datum by decoding the inferred latent space activations.


Model-based metrics: Sample-efficient estimates of predictive model subpopulation performance

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine learning models $-$ now commonly developed to screen, diagnose, or predict health conditions $-$ are evaluated with a variety of performance metrics. An important first step in assessing the practical utility of a model is to evaluate its average performance over an entire population of interest. In many settings, it is also critical that the model makes good predictions within predefined subpopulations. For instance, showing that a model is fair or equitable requires evaluating the model's performance in different demographic subgroups. However, subpopulation performance metrics are typically computed using only data from that subgroup, resulting in higher variance estimates for smaller groups. We devise a procedure to measure subpopulation performance that can be more sample-efficient than the typical subsample estimates. We propose using an evaluation model $-$ a model that describes the conditional distribution of the predictive model score $-$ to form model-based metric (MBM) estimates. Our procedure incorporates model checking and validation, and we propose a computationally efficient approximation of the traditional nonparametric bootstrap to form confidence intervals. We evaluate MBMs on two main tasks: a semi-synthetic setting where ground truth metrics are available and a real-world hospital readmission prediction task. We find that MBMs consistently produce more accurate and lower variance estimates of model performance for small subpopulations.